Monthly Archives: March 2014

The S-Curve of Educational Video

I just posted the most recent piece in my series of columns, “Educational Technology Points of Inflection.” It explains where educational video is in its development life cycle.

The machine Thomas Edison said would replace the textbook.

The machine Thomas Edison said would replace the textbook.

Thomas Edison exclaimed as early as 1913 that “It is possible to teach every branch of human knowledge with the motion picture.” He also predicted that motion pictures would replace the textbook and that schools would change drastically. Despite the incredible advances in digital video of the past 25 years, which meet or exceed the exponential increases of Moore’s Law, Edison’s pronouncements remain unrealized. Furthermore, the time of exponential increases in basic capabilities might well be coming to an end, “the significant positive slope of the linear portion of the development curve suggests that significant, even amazing, advances likely lie ahead for video as an effective educational technology.”

You can read the entire piece here: “Educational Video on the S-Curve of Video Technology Development.”

The Internet tsunami (Pew Research)

The Pew Research Center’s Internet Project has published Digital Life 2025, which summarizes the opinions of experts: “Experts predict the Internet will become ‘like electricity’ — less visible, yet more deeply embedded in people’s lives for good and ill.” Jason Hiner of ZDNet has summarized the report in his piece on ZDNET entitled, “The Internet tsunami: 8 big insights on what it disrupts next | ZDNet.”

Hiner writes somewhat humorously, “The remarks that Pew highlighted from these experts include a little navel-gazing, fear-mongering, and overly-optimistic blather. But, the interesting insights far outweigh the drivel.” I have further simplified his summaries of each trend in these eight brief statements.

  1. The distinction between being online and offline will disappear.
  2. We will better understand the consequences of our personal actual and our interactions with others.
  3. The way we see the world will be informed by multiple views of what is happening around us.
  4. Society will be able to better deal with bad actors, i.e. those that do not conform to its standards.
  5. The relationship between the individual and the state as well as how states relate to other will change.
  6. The same forces that disrupt how people work will  also improve how their work gets done.
  7. More powerful tools and
  8. The structures that determine how society organizes itself will change drastically